[Vision2020] Nate Silver, fivethirtyeight.com 11-22-16 "Education, Not Income, Predicted... Vote For Trump"

[Kenneth Marcy]

Nearer proximity to the equator may be statistically significant, too.



Ken



On 11/22/2016 07:25 PM, Ted Moffett wrote:
> The following data from Nate Silver at fivethirtyeight.com 
> <http://fivethirtyeight.com> reveals how the uneducated helped elect 
> Donald Trump:
> ---------------------------------------
> Vision2020 Post: Ted Moffett
>
> http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/education-not-income-predicted-who-would-vote-for-trump/
>
> Clinton collapsed in the 50 least-educated counties
>
> COUNTY 	COLLEGE DEGREE 	MEDIAN HOUSEHOLD INCOME 	OBAMA 2012 	CLINTON 
> 2016 	SHIFT
> Average 	13.3% 	$41,108 	-19.3 	-30.5 	-11.3
> Liberty, TX 	8.8 	47,722 	-53.3 	-58.0 	-4.7
> Starr, TX 	9.6 	25,906 	+73.3 	+60.1 	-13.2
> Acadia, LA 	9.9 	37,684 	-49.8 	-56.7 	-6.9
> Apache, AZ 	10.1 	32,396 	+34.3 	+36.9 	+2.6
> Duplin, NC 	10.4 	34,787 	-11.6 	-19.2 	-7.6
> Walker, AL 	10.7 	36,712 	-52.8 	-67.5 	-14.7
> Edgecombe, NC 	10.7 	33,892 	+36.2 	+32.2 	-4.0
> St. Mary, LA 	11.1 	41,956 	-18.8 	-27.6 	-8.8
> DeKalb, AL 	11.3 	37,977 	-54.7 	-69.4 	-14.7
> Anderson, TX 	11.3 	42,511 	-52.1 	-58.1 	-6.0
> McKinley, NM 	11.4 	29,812 	+46.9 	+39.5 	-7.4
> Henry, VA 	11.5 	34,344 	-14.7 	-29.2 	-14.5
> Putnam, FL 	11.6 	32,714 	-24.5 	-36.6 	-12.2
> Darke, OH 	11.6 	43,323 	-44.4 	-61.2 	-16.8
> Halifax, NC 	11.9 	32,834 	+32.3 	+26.9 	-5.4
> Laurel, KY 	11.9 	35,746 	-63.6 	-69.1 	-5.5
> Sampson, NC 	12.1 	35,731 	-10.9 	-16.7 	-5.8
> Maverick, TX 	12.1 	32,536 	+58.1 	+55.8 	-2.3
> Mohave, AZ 	12.2 	38,456 	-42.1 	-51.5 	-9.4
> Blount, AL 	12.3 	44,409 	-73.9 	-81.4 	-7.5
> Robeson, NC 	12.4 	30,581 	+17.4 	-4.8 	-22.2
> Kings, CA 	12.5 	47,341 	-14.9 	-17.4 	-2.5
> Talladega, AL 	12.5 	35,896 	-16.0 	-25.5 	-9.5
> Pike, KY 	12.5 	32,571 	-50.5 	-62.7 	-12.2
> Marion, OH 	12.5 	42,904 	-6.4 	-34.4 	-28.0
> Lea, NM 	12.6 	55,248 	-49.8 	-48.3 	+1.5
> Columbus, NC 	12.7 	34,597 	-7.8 	-22.1 	-14.3
> Terrebonne, LA 	12.9 	49,932 	-41.2 	-48.4 	-7.2
> Wilkes, NC 	12.9 	32,157 	-42.4 	-55.2 	-12.8
> Jackson, AL 	12.9 	36,874 	-41.8 	-62.5 	-20.7
> Le Flore, OK 	12.9 	35,970 	-41.1 	-58.7 	-17.6
> Merced, CA 	13.0 	43,066 	+8.7 	+7.9 	-0.8
> Hawkins, TN 	13.0 	37,432 	-46.9 	-63.4 	-16.5
> Vermilion, LA 	13.0 	47,344 	-52.8 	-59.6 	-6.8
> St. Landry, LA 	13.1 	33,928 	-4.3 	-11.9 	-7.6
> Rockingham, NC 	13.1 	38,946 	-21.1 	-30.0 	-8.9
> Huron, OH 	13.1 	49,315 	-8.3 	-36.4 	-28.1
> Clearfield, PA 	13.2 	41,510 	-28.9 	-49.5 	-20.6
> Tulare, CA 	13.3 	42,863 	-15.0 	-16.2 	-1.2
> Rusk, TX 	13.3 	46,924 	-51.1 	-56.6 	-5.5
> Ashtabula, OH 	13.4 	40,304 	+12.8 	-19.0 	-31.8
> Imperial, CA 	13.4 	41,772 	+32.0 	+41.8 	+9.7
> Bullitt, KY 	13.4 	56,199 	-35.7 	-49.8 	-14.1
> Caldwell, NC 	13.4 	34,853 	-35.5 	-50.6 	-15.1
> Montcalm, MI 	13.4 	40,739 	-8.6 	-34.0 	-25.4
> Madera, CA 	13.5 	45,490 	-17.1 	-17.3 	-0.2
> Dickson, TN 	13.5 	45,056 	-28.4 	-45.7 	-17.3
> Tuscola, MI 	13.5 	44,017 	-10.8 	-38.0 	-27.2
> Pearl River, MS 	13.5 	40,997 	-59.3 	-66.7 	-7.4
> Columbiana, OH 	13.6 	43,707 	-11.8 	-41.6 	-29.8
>
>
>
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