[Vision2020] Polls 'oversampling' Democrats?

[Scott Dredge]

Nick Gier writes: <As the economy improves, I predict more gains in both House and Senate in 2014.>

That's quite a bold prediction considering mid-term gains of the president's party in both the house and senate has only happened twice since 1934.  You might prove to be right though. :)



> Date: Mon, 12 Nov 2012 10:03:16 -0800
> From: ngier006 at gmail.com
> To: donovanjarnold2005 at yahoo.com
> CC: vision2020 at moscow.com
> Subject: Re: [Vision2020] [Spam 5.61] Re: Polls 'oversampling' Democrats?
> 
> Good Morning Visionaries,
> 
> With regard to the main theme of this thread (my, how we wander
> about!), I have to report that Nate Silver of fivethirtyeight.com is
> slipping a bit.  In 2010 he accurately projected big gains for the GOP
> in the House (so much for a bias!), and predicted the 2008 popular
> vote by .1 percent.
> 
> This year he was .3 percent above the popular vote, 2-3 seats short on
> the Demo Senate, and 19 points shy of Obama's electoral count.  Again,
> so much for a Demo bias.
> 
> The pollsters, all slammed by Faux News and the GOP, were right, and
> if anything, underestimated the Senate and Obama victories.  Not much
> we can do about a gerrymandered House, but the Dems made some gains
> there, too.  NBC is predicting a 5 seat gain for them.
> 
> As the economy improves, I predict more gains in both House and Senate
> in 2014.  The GOP is dying on craggy vine of white male fears.
> 
> Thank you, voters, for saving our country,
> 
> Nick
> 
> On Mon, Nov 12, 2012 at 3:58 AM, Donovan Arnold
> <donovanjarnold2005 at yahoo.com> wrote:
> > A volunteer for Lyndon Johnson's US Senate campaign was spending a long time
> > trying to read a name off an old tombstone. So another volunteer said to
> > him, "Why you wasting time? Go to the next tombstone." The man replied,
> > "No!, this man has as much right to vote as any other dead man in Texas."
> >
> > Donovan J. Arnold
> >
> > From: Tom Hansen <thansen at moscow.com>
> > To: Robert Dickow <dickow at turbonet.com>
> > Cc: Moscow Vision2020 <vision2020 at moscow.com>
> > Sent: Sunday, November 11, 2012 12:47 PM
> > Subject: Re: [Vision2020] [Spam 5.61] Re: Polls 'oversampling' Democrats?
> >
> > You think you had it hard, BD?
> >
> > I was in charge of transportation to and from Memorial Gardens Cemetery!
> >
> > Seeya round town, Moscow, because . . .
> >
> > "Moscow Cares"
> > http://www.MoscowCares.com
> >
> > Tom Hansen
> > Moscow, Idaho
> >
> >
> > On Nov 11, 2012, at 12:37 PM, "Robert Dickow" <dickow at turbonet.com> wrote:
> >
> > Ron, Whew! Yeah. It was a long hard day, what with putting on various
> > outfits and dying my hair several times, but I managed to cast  3,264
> > ballots over at the fair grounds. Worth it though, wasn’t it?
> >
> > Bob Dickow, troublemaker
> >
> > From: vision2020-bounces at moscow.com [mailto:vision2020-bounces at moscow.com]
> > On Behalf Of Ron Force
> > Sent: Sunday, November 11, 2012 9:05 AM
> > To: Moscow Vision2020
> > Subject: [Spam 5.61] Re: [Vision2020] Polls 'oversampling' Democrats?
> >
> > As one commenter put it: "The election obviously oversampled Democrats".
> >
> > Ron Force
> > Moscow Idaho USA
> >
> > =======================================================
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> >               http://www.fsr.net
> >          mailto:Vision2020 at moscow.com
> > =======================================================
> >
> >
> > =======================================================
> > List services made available by First Step Internet,
> > serving the communities of the Palouse since 1994.
> >               http://www.fsr.net/
> >           mailto:Vision2020 at moscow.com
> > =======================================================
> >
> >
> > =======================================================
> >  List services made available by First Step Internet,
> >  serving the communities of the Palouse since 1994.
> >                http://www.fsr.net
> >           mailto:Vision2020 at moscow.com
> > =======================================================
> 
> =======================================================
>  List services made available by First Step Internet,
>  serving the communities of the Palouse since 1994.
>                http://www.fsr.net
>           mailto:Vision2020 at moscow.com
> =======================================================
 		 	   		  
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