[Vision2020] [Spam 5.61] Re: Polls 'oversampling' Democrats?

[Nicholas Gier]

Good Morning Visionaries,

With regard to the main theme of this thread (my, how we wander
about!), I have to report that Nate Silver of fivethirtyeight.com is
slipping a bit.  In 2010 he accurately projected big gains for the GOP
in the House (so much for a bias!), and predicted the 2008 popular
vote by .1 percent.

This year he was .3 percent above the popular vote, 2-3 seats short on
the Demo Senate, and 19 points shy of Obama's electoral count.  Again,
so much for a Demo bias.

The pollsters, all slammed by Faux News and the GOP, were right, and
if anything, underestimated the Senate and Obama victories.  Not much
we can do about a gerrymandered House, but the Dems made some gains
there, too.  NBC is predicting a 5 seat gain for them.

As the economy improves, I predict more gains in both House and Senate
in 2014.  The GOP is dying on craggy vine of white male fears.

Thank you, voters, for saving our country,

Nick

On Mon, Nov 12, 2012 at 3:58 AM, Donovan Arnold
<donovanjarnold2005 at yahoo.com> wrote:
> A volunteer for Lyndon Johnson's US Senate campaign was spending a long time
> trying to read a name off an old tombstone. So another volunteer said to
> him, "Why you wasting time? Go to the next tombstone." The man replied,
> "No!, this man has as much right to vote as any other dead man in Texas."
>
> Donovan J. Arnold
>
> From: Tom Hansen <thansen at moscow.com>
> To: Robert Dickow <dickow at turbonet.com>
> Cc: Moscow Vision2020 <vision2020 at moscow.com>
> Sent: Sunday, November 11, 2012 12:47 PM
> Subject: Re: [Vision2020] [Spam 5.61] Re: Polls 'oversampling' Democrats?
>
> You think you had it hard, BD?
>
> I was in charge of transportation to and from Memorial Gardens Cemetery!
>
> Seeya round town, Moscow, because . . .
>
> "Moscow Cares"
> http://www.MoscowCares.com
>
> Tom Hansen
> Moscow, Idaho
>
>
> On Nov 11, 2012, at 12:37 PM, "Robert Dickow" <dickow at turbonet.com> wrote:
>
> Ron, Whew! Yeah. It was a long hard day, what with putting on various
> outfits and dying my hair several times, but I managed to cast  3,264
> ballots over at the fair grounds. Worth it though, wasn’t it?
>
> Bob Dickow, troublemaker
>
> From: vision2020-bounces at moscow.com [mailto:vision2020-bounces at moscow.com]
> On Behalf Of Ron Force
> Sent: Sunday, November 11, 2012 9:05 AM
> To: Moscow Vision2020
> Subject: [Spam 5.61] Re: [Vision2020] Polls 'oversampling' Democrats?
>
> As one commenter put it: "The election obviously oversampled Democrats".
>
> Ron Force
> Moscow Idaho USA
>
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