[Vision2020] Typhoon Lupit's Track Predicted for a Direct Landfall on Storm Battered Philippines

[Ted Moffett]

UNICEF:

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There was hope that the Philippines would get lucky, that Typhoon Lupit
would track north away from a direct landfall, but the latest predictions
from the Joint Typhoon Warning Center now show Lupit making a direct
landfall on the northern Philippines, an area already rain soaked and
severely damaged, with hundreds killed, from Tropical Storm Ketsana, and
Typhoon Parma.  Imagine Louisiana hit by three Hurricane Katrina's in one
month:

US Naval Oceanography Portal, Joint Typhoon Warning Center info on Typhoon
Lupit:

http://www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/warnings/wp2209.gif
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>From Jeff Master's weather web site:

http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=1354

*Typhoon Lupit a potential major disaster for the Philippines*

Category 4 Super Typhoon
Lupit<http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/wp200922_5day.htm>has
begun its turn to the west over the Philippine Sea, and is headed
towards a landfall early Thursday morning on the northern portion of Luzon
Island in the Philippines. Thanks to the departure of a trough of low
pressure that was pulling the super typhoon to the northeast and creating a
region of weak steering currents, a strong ridge of high pressure is now
building in over Lupit and will force it slightly south of due west. The
models are all in excellent agreement on the forecast track taking the super
typhoon over northern Luzon as a major Category 3 or 4 typhoon, and
Lupit--the Filipino word for cruel--is very likely to live up to its name.
The northern Philippines are still reeling from the rains and mudslides
unleashed by Super Typhoon
Parma<http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Typhoon_Parma_%282009%29>last week,
which crossed over the northern Philippines three times, dumping
over twenty inches of rain in many locations. Parma killed 438 people, and
51 are still missing. A week prior to Parma, Typhoon Ketsana brought the
heaviest rains in 42 years to the capital of Manila, killing 420 people,
with 37 still missing.
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Vision2020 Post: Ted Moffett
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