[Vision2020] Iowa caucus stuff

[Tom Hansen]

Huckabee has taken the Iowa Republican caucus by a clear margin over Romney.
Thompson has come in at a weak third.  Ron Paul, at a very distant fourth,
isn't even on the same map as Huckabee, Romney, and Thompson.

 

Concerning the Democratic caucus, the lead changes constantly between Obama,
Edwards, and Clinton (all stabilizing right around 32% with no more than ten
votes between first and third).  The fact that the three leading candidates
account for 96% to 97% of the delegates (with 3% to 4% spread over the
remainder of the field), coupled with the 15-percent rule (where a candidate
must carry a minimum of 15% of the delegates or relinquish his/her delegates
to other candidates), makes this Iowa Democrat Caucus a very, very close
call.  Although MSNBC has just predicted Obama will win.

 

Seeya round town, Moscow.

Tom Hansen
Moscow, Idaho

"I'll just speak for our church, in Christ Church.  If I found out that a
member of our church or a church officer was lying to non-believers in the
community, as a way to get by or protect themself or protect his reputation,
yes, he'd be disciplined."

- Doug Wilson (January 31, 2007)

  _____  

From: vision2020-bounces at moscow.com [mailto:vision2020-bounces at moscow.com]
On Behalf Of keely emerinemix
Sent: Thursday, January 03, 2008 6:05 PM
To: vision2020 at moscow.com
Subject: [Vision2020] Iowa caucus stuff

 

CNN projects Mike Huckabee as the GOP caucus winner in Iowa, followed by
Romney, then Thompson.  On the Democratic side, Edwards, Obama and Clinton
are fairly evenly matched and only Bill Richardson has made any
statistically notable waves among the second-tier candidates.

I've been for Edwards since he announced, and while I would be  happy with
any of the Democrats (except for Kucinich and Gravel), I would be ecstatic
if we had an Edwards/Obama or Edwards/Richardson, or an Obama/???, ticket in
2008.  And two great things happen on January 20, 2009 -- my son turns 20
(he was born on the final day of the Reagan administration) and the days of
the Bush presidency are no more.  

On a final note, I'm dismayed that several commentators have noted that the
GOP voters who identify as evangelicals consider illegal immigration their
top issue.  It would be wonderful if their top concern was justice and
opportunity for the poor, but I'm guessing that the gospel of Glenn Beck,
Lou Dobbs, Laura Ingraham and Pat Buchanan has trumped the Gospel of that
other guy . . . 

Keely




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