[Vision2020] Craig

[Donovan Arnold]

Tom,
   
  I don't think Craig will resign or be removed. He will probably be censured by the Senate Ethics Committee, and not seek re-election (for another reason he will say). He will probably go on to be a lobbyist and make a great deal of money. I don't think that Craig is equal to a freshmen Senator. He has a lot of contacts. Many politicians may shun him publicly, but they like him personally, you don't get to be the third most powerful Senator (when his party was in power) by pissing people off. Kicking Craig off committees at the senior level hurts Idaho and the Northwest to a much greater extent than it personally hurts Craig. Idaho has billions in that guy, to toss him for being Gay is STUPID to say the least. 
   
  I think Risch will take the seat in an election. Risch is better known and has won a state wide election before. He also has a lot of power in the state. Simpson could win, but less likely too. 
   
  I think Kempthorne would view the Senate position as a step backwards. His career is not over yet. He could retain a position in the next administration regardless of its political party. He could also be a lobbyist, make contacts, and try a bid for President or Vice President. 
   
  One thing I think about Kempthorne, he likes to jump from political office to political office since he was ASUI President. 
   
  Best,
   
  Donovan
   
   
  Best,
   
  Donovan

Tom Ivie <the_ivies3 at yahoo.com> wrote:
  Thanks for setting me straight, Donovan.  My theory still holds, regardless of who does the appointing. The fact that Kempthorne has already served as Senator helps him if he wants it.  I think he is more electable than Risch or Simpson. Regardless of who wins the White House, he would be looking for a new job.  He is too young to retire and I believe he loves politics.  He already has the major contacts that are required for fund raising at that level  and there is no learning curve required because he has already done the job.  You can leave a job and come back to it again, it does happen.  I am interested in hearing other theories though, if you have one.  I suppose it could also be possible that Craig won't resign.  However, I believe that there is a lot of ego when you are at that level of elected office, especially when you've been in office for a long time, and maybe rightly so.  So when you are stripped of all of your seniority and are now equal to a freshman
 Senator, it has to hurt.  -Tom

Donovan Arnold <donovanjarnold2005 at yahoo.com> wrote:     Tom Ivie,
   
  Bush has nothing to do with it. Gov. Otter would make the appointment. Kempthorne was already a Senator, he left it to become Governor. 
   
  Best,
   
  Donovan

Tom Ivie <the_ivies3 at yahoo.com> wrote:
  What happens next is Craig begs Bush to appoint Simpson once he resigns since Craig and Risch have no love lost between them, which pretty much takes Risch out of the equation for next Nov.  This theory only holds true if Kempthorne doesn't want the appointment.  If he wants it, it is his.

Chuck Kovis <ckovis at turbonet.com> wrote:   Mr. Falen,

Who is making excuses for Clinton? If Larry Craig ran again in this state - 
he would be re-elected. Don't believe me -- have him run again!! Then we 
can show the nation what this state is really made of: Bill Sali - Helen 
Chenoweth, etc. Hell, the local debate among you Republicans is whether 
dog-fighting should be made a felony! What the hell? Fix our roads, get 
some money to the University of Idaho like the "big bad liberal Democratic 
Washington legislature" gave to WSU) Quit whining. You guys don't know 
how to govern from the top all the way to the bottom.

Chuck Kovis 


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