[Vision2020] The Truth about Oil for Food
Nick Gier
ngier at uidaho.edu
Sat Feb 12 08:47:10 PST 2005
THE SECURITY COUNCIL'S ROLE
Off Target
by James Traub
The New Republic
Post date: 02.10.05
Issue date: 02.21.05
In early 1995, American and British diplomats began to worry that the
crippling sanctions the United Nations had imposed on Iraq five years
earlier were becoming too unpopular to sustain. The sanctions were
essential to keeping weapons inspectors in the country and preventing
Saddam Hussein from importing war matériel; but they had also crippled the
Iraqi economy, with GDP per capita dropping from $2,304 to $495 over the
previous six years. Saddam had adroitly manipulated his people's suffering
to undermine worldwide support for the sanctions regime. "There was a
discussion about whether we could hold the sanctions in place," says a
former official on President Clinton's National Security Council staff.
"There was erosion for humanitarian reasons, and we were worried that Rolf
Ekeus"--the head of unscom, the U.N. body searching Iraq for chemical and
biological weapons--"would say he had accounted for everything. The French
and the Russians wanted to find the quickest way out of sanctions so they
could start selling to the Iraqis." Thus was born the Oil-for-Food
Programme, under which Saddam was allowed to sell oil to buy food and
medical supplies, and which, over the last few months, has become a ten-ton
millstone around the U.N.'s neck.
Several central truths have been lost in the ruckus over Oil-for-Food. One
is that the program was devised by the administrations of Bill Clinton and
John Major, not by the United Nations--not, that is, by international civil
servants. Another is that the compromises that allowed Saddam to exploit
the program were baked in from the start. In 1991, the U.N. Security
Council had passed a resolution permitting Iraq to sell limited amounts of
oil in exchange for food and medicine. But Saddam had balked; the system
was to be controlled by the United Nations, and he would not accept a
program he could not manipulate. Four years later, with the humanitarian
crisis deepening and the sanctions themselves threatened, American and
British negotiators agreed to let Saddam control the distribution of goods
within the country and choose who would buy Iraqi oil. It was plain that
the dictator would use the deal to line his own pockets and to try to evade
the sanctions. According to Sir Jeremy Greenstock, then an official in the
British Foreign Office and later his country's ambassador to the United
Nations, "It was realized that a certain amount of misbehavior was going to
happen on the Iraqi side if they were going to accept this. But the Iraqi
government had to agree, or it wouldn't work."
In other words, Oil-for-Food was a conscious act of diplomacy. And it was,
on balance, a successful one: The program saved the sanctions, and the
sanctions made possible the disarmament of Iraq. But it was also,
inevitably, a mess; and the U.N.'s critics have seized upon the program as
a mighty bludgeon with which to beat the institution silly. New York Times
columnist William Safire melodramatically dubbed Oil-for-Food "the largest
financial rip-off in history." Federal and state prosecutors, and House and
Senate panels, are scrutinizing the program. And, last week, an
investigative body appointed by U.N. Secretary-General Kofi Annan and
headed by Paul Volcker, the former chairman of the Federal Reserve, issued
an interim report on the program. Volcker concluded that Benon Sevan, the
U.N. official who managed Oil-for-Food, abused his position to benefit an
oil trader and quite possibly himself. Volcker has not yet finished
investigating many other aspects of the program, including the alleged
involvement of Annan's son, Kojo. Volcker's 219-page report, however,
contains no evidence of systemic fraud or corruption; even Sevan, who
appears to have acted alone, has only $160,000 of income for which he has
not adequately accounted.
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But, if the institution the Volcker report describes is not fundamentally
dishonest or out of control, as the right-wing lynch mob would have it,
neither is it healthy. It is, if anything, an explicitly subservient body
that has grown habituated to serving the interests and the whims of its
member-states and understands all too well that all decisions are, at
bottom, political. This is a pathology in which the members and the
professionals of the Secretariat join equally and that undermines the
organization's good efforts. Whether and to what extent it is curable is an
open, and very important, question.
Sanctions are a popular tool of multilateral statecraft, but not because
they work. They tend to be used, as Simon Chesterman, a professor of
international law at New York University, says, "where there's enough
political will to do more than denounce the situation, but not enough to
actually do something about the situation." The Iraqi sanctions were the
biggest, the most complex, and the longest-lasting ever implemented by the
United Nations. The fact that they turned out to be porous and manipulable
is thus much less surprising than the fact that they worked at all.
Iraq was placed under what are known as "comprehensive" sanctions--a total
embargo on trade that aims, in effect, to starve an adversary into
submission. The Oil-for-Food Programme was designed to cure, or at least
mitigate, the inevitable consequences of such a drastic sanctions regime.
In the Kurdish areas, where the United Nations controlled the flow of goods
made possible by the program, health and nutrition returned largely to
prewar levels. The effect was less ameliorative elsewhere in Iraq, because
Saddam used his control over distribution to siphon off the supplies and
thus preserve the propaganda weapon of mass suffering. Nevertheless, the
threat of starvation and epidemic receded--as did the threat to the
sanctions themselves, which had been sustained by a genuine global
consensus on the dangers posed by Saddam's regime. The sanctions not only
kept the inspectors rooting out Saddam's WMD programs--at least through
1998, when Saddam kicked them out of the country--but also deprived him of
the revenue he needed to rebuild his war machine and threaten his
neighbors. Kenneth Pollack, the former Clinton administration official who
helped convince many wavering Democrats to support the war by arguing that
sanctions had given Iraq cover to reconstitute its WMD programs, now
concedes that "the combination of inspections backed by powerful sanctions
worked in disarming Iraq."
Among the unintended victims of the sanctions blunderbuss were Iraq's
neighbors, several of whom were important U.S. allies. Iraq served as an
indispensable source of cheap oil for Jordan, Turkey, and Syria. Throughout
the '90s, starting well before the Oil-for-Food Programme was established,
a continuous caravan of tankers illegally carried Iraqi oil across the
country's borders. The United Nations could do nothing about this, and the
United States made no attempt to stop the trade. "We were not going to
address the Jordanian smuggling," says Pollack, who oversaw the
Oil-for-Food Programme for the White House from 1999 to 2001. "In the case
of Turkey, we tried a couple of times, but the Turks made a horrific stink.
We weren't going to keep fighting, because we felt we had bigger fish to
fry"--maintaining the inspections, the no-fly zones over northern and
southern Iraq, and the sanctions themselves.
It is this illicit trade in oil, accepted and even protected by three
successive U.S. administrations, that accounts for the enormous numbers
associated with the Oil-for-Food "theft." This past November, Senator Norm
Coleman, the Minnesota Republican who chairs the Senate subcommittee
investigating the program, issued a set of calculations purporting to show
that Saddam had stolen a stupefying $21.3 billion under the cover of the
U.N. program. This was transparently disingenuous, since two-thirds of the
total consisted of oil-smuggling over which, as Coleman must have known,
the United Nations had no jurisdiction. Volcker's report is conclusive on
this score: "[T]he major source of external financial resources to the
Iraqi Regime resulted from sanctions violations outside the Programme's
framework."
Nevertheless, even subtracting these very large sums, billions of dollars
were stolen from the program, principally in the form of kickbacks on the
goods Iraq purchased with its oil revenue. (The Volcker panel estimates
this figure at $1.7 to $2.5 billion; the Coleman committee suggests a much
splashier $7.5 billion.) The scam was perfectly straightforward: Iraqi
officials instructed contractors delivering food, medicine, trucks,
water-purification plants, and the like to add 10 percent to the actual
price, and then to wire a payment equal to the extra sum to an account
controlled by Iraq. How did the United Nations manage to miss this
systematic cheating? The principal allegations have been that either U.N.
officials, above all Benon Sevan (who ran the Office of the Iraq
Programme), or Cotecna (the firm that was hired in late 1998 to inspect
goods as they crossed the border) turned a blind eye, presumably in
exchange for bribes. The Volcker panel will deal with these issues in a
later report.
The Oil-for-Food Programme, which, over the years of its existence,
monitored the sale of $64 billion in oil and the purchase of a
corresponding amount of goods, was an enormous technical and financial
exercise that, on the evidence of the Volcker report, occasionally
overwhelmed the U.N.'s modest managerial capacity. Yet responsibility for
the program lay not with Kofi Annan and his aides, but with the Security
Council. The Council administers sanctions programs: Whenever it votes to
impose such a punishment, it establishes a committee, consisting of
representatives of the members, to administer the sanctions and then draws
on the Secretariat for staff. Sevan periodically briefed Deputy
Secretary-General Louise Frechette on Oil-for-Food, but he reported to the
Council.
The Security Council members, who received the contracts from Sevan's
office for approval, were well aware of Saddam's schemes, if not of their
systematic nature. One ambassador of a current Council member-state says
that "the committee was aware of the risk of abuse" and understood that
many contracts contained "not just inappropriate stuff, but stuff which was
incorrectly invoiced"--though he added that many of the contracts were so
mind-numbingly long and detailed that it was often almost impossible to
unravel the secret thread. Pollack says, "We did not know the number, and
we could not be certain that this was going on. But everyone knew in his
bones that this was the case; we had enough anecdotal reports about
companies striking deals with the Iraqis."
Both Pollack and a British official say that they tried to block some
particularly egregious examples of fraud. But the fact remains that neither
the United States nor the United Kingdom ever officially vetoed a contract
over concerns about fraudulent pricing. In fact, the U.N. Office of the
Iraq Programme brought instances of suspicious pricing to the attention of
the sanctions committee on 70 or so occasions; none of those contracts,
however, were ultimately blocked. The U.N. professionals, in other words,
were focusing on the merits, while the five permanent members of the
Security Council were making political decisions according to their own
priorities. A team of analysts at the State Department pored over every
contract for signs of "dual-use" items that might have a hidden military
purpose, often placing contracts on hold for months. The French, the
Russians, and the Chinese, whether out of humanitarian or commercial or
merely anti-American calculations, did everything to keep the pipeline full.
Officials from the major countries understood the game in all its
complexity and cynicism. It was ugly, but it worked. And then, in
retrospect, the whole contraption was reduced to ... Kofigate. Many
diplomats were revolted by the brutal attack conservatives launched against
the United Nations--though not, of course, revolted enough to say so in
public. In early December 2004, at the monthly lunch Annan holds with the
Security Council, Emyr Jones Parry, the British ambassador, shattered the
ritual pieties by saying, "It is an abomination to blame the
secretary-general and the Secretariat for something supposedly on the order
of $20 billion when the sanctions committee was fully aware of what was
happening, and the committee as a whole was unwilling to do anything about
it." Jones Parry pointed out that, in 2001, when the British sponsored a
resolution to put a stop to oil-smuggling, the Bush administration was
quite content to let it die.
How did Oil-for-Food swell from a kind of sanctions prosthesis to a scandal
of worldhistorical proportions? The steady drip of ugly
revelations--Saddam's personally approved list of recipients of Iraqi oil
vouchers, the kickback scheme, and, of course, the unspooling and
deliciously circumstantial narrative of Kojo Annan--would certainly have
gotten the United Nations in hot water. But the scandal was also a
heaven-sent gift for conservatives. The unilateralist wing of the
Republican Party has long fumed at the idea that the United States must
seek "legitimacy" for its actions from the U.N. Security Council. For many
of them, the U.N.'s failure to offer that precious good in the case of the
war against Iraq constituted an irreparable breach, compounded when Kofi
Annan declared the war "illegal" and then criticized the planned assault on
Falluja two days before the U.S. presidential election. For conservatives,
Oil-for-Food was the rope with which the United Nations was to hang itself.
It was this wish to marginalize the United Nations, or at least to reap the
political benefit of U.N.-bashing, that explains the wild hyperbole over
the numbers, the refusal to distinguish between the United Nations and its
members, and, finally, the demands for Annan's head. The Kofi-must-go
movement peaked in early December, when Coleman wrote an op-ed in The Wall
Street Journal calling on Annan to resign. Coleman insisted that Annan was
stonewalling the investigations, though he furnished no evidence that this
was so. Senator Carl Levin, the committee's ranking Democrat, was so
incensed that he appeared on CNN the following day to praise Annan's
cooperation and to say that the subcommittee had received no evidence of
impropriety on Annan's part.
Annan was especially vulnerable because of his feckless son. Much about the
Kojo story does, in fact, invite suspicion: He worked as a consultant for
Cotecna; his contract was first said to have ended in December 1998, the
month Cotecna won the goods-inspection contract, and then turned out to
have lasted another year; still later it was revealed that Kojo had been
paid $2,500 a month for four more years as part of a "non-compete
agreement"; and, finally, he billed Cotecna for $54,700 in expenses in
1998, many of them run up at U.N. events. All this could mean ... what?
"Did Kojo inform Sevan about the fees," William Safire wondered in
November, "or know about any lucrative oil vouchers given by Saddam to
Sevan?" Need we even ask? As Fox News commentator John Gibson blithely
affirmed, "Annan's son was in on the scam."
And yet, in the avalanche of documents being leaked to the press, and in
the whole corpus of information available to investigators, nothing has yet
appeared to corroborate these speculations. Until recently, investigators
for the Volcker panel believed that the Kojo story was all smoke and no
fire. Now they appear to have found some evidence connecting Kojo to the
Oil-for-Food Programme, as well as evidence casting doubt on Kofi Annan's
claims that he knew next to nothing of his son's activities. It's not clear
how serious any of this material will prove to be. The panel will produce a
report on Kojo's activities several weeks from now.
The most fascinating--and, for the United Nations, perhaps the most
discomfiting--passage in the Volcker report is its discussion of the
selection in 1996 of a bank to hold Iraq's oil revenue in escrow and of
firms to inspect the movement of oil and of goods. These were decisions
made by the Secretariat, not by the Security Council, but the report's
narrative shines a floodlight on the perverse relation between the two. The
United Nations had a minutely detailed procurement policy designed to
ensure a meritocratic choice of contractor. Accordingly, responsible
officials solicited bids and drew up lists of the banks and inspection
firms with the most experience, the best record, and the lowest cost. And,
in each case, officials higher up the chain chose a less qualified firm.
Why? In minutes of a meeting of the Iraq Steering Group from August 13,
1996, Chinmaya Gharekhan, one of then-Secretary-General Boutros
Boutros-Ghali's closest advisers, said, "Everything about implementation of
986 [the Oil-for-Food resolution] was 'political,' and no aspect could be
assessed purely on its merits. The Secretariat had come under terrible
pressure from member-states; the selection of [oil] overseers, the bank,
and the firm to supply oil inspection agents had all been political."
Reading these narratives, it is not always clear whether the Secretariat is
reacting to pressure from members or has so thoroughly internalized this
political dynamic that the pressure is superfluous. Boutros-Ghali appears
to decide in advance that the escrow bank should be French--perhaps because
the Iraqis won't accept an American or British one, nor the Americans a
Swiss one--and instructs the French ambassador to draw up a list of
interested French banks. Once Banque Nationale de Paris wins the contract,
despite numerous demerits, members of the Steering Committee, which
includes many of Boutros-Ghali's chief aides, conclude that it would be
"unacceptable" to award the contract for goods inspection to a French firm
as well, even though a French firm is the lowest bidder. Instead, they
invoke a clause allowing merit considerations to be overruled by the
"interests of the Organization," which they understand to mean keeping
important members happy. They decide to award the contract to Lloyd's of
London.
It is instructive to compare the behavior of Boutros-Ghali's top aides to
that of Sevan. According to the Volcker report, Sevan repeatedly solicited
Iraqi officials for allocations of oil on behalf of an Egyptian trader; in
one case, the Iraqis granted the requests immediately after Sevan talked to
them about his hopes to expand access to spare parts for their oil
industry. This behavior is so shocking that many U.N. officials I know
simply refused to believe it until the Volcker report appeared--a reaction
that suggests that it is, in fact, aberrational. The deference to members
and their political calculations, on the other hand, is an institutional
reflex, not only in procurement matters but in personnel decisions and,
ultimately, in the most fundamental matters.
At a press briefing after the Volcker panel released the interim report,
Mark Malloch Brown, Annan's new chief of staff, was asked if the report
should be read as "an indictment of United Nations culture." Malloch Brown
was candid enough to concede that "the culture of political complicity" was
a serious problem. Members, he said, should "back off and allow us to
manage this organization." But will they back off? Can they? The United
Nations is an instrument to be used by its members; it matters insofar as
states are willing and able to use it to express their common will, which
is to say, their political objectives. The Iraq sanctions committee was a
perfect example of the organization's possibilities and its limitations:
There was just barely enough common ground for the United States and the
United Kingdom on the one hand, and France, Russia, and China on the other,
to satisfy their conflicting political objectives without the process
breaking down altogether. U.N. officials could do little more than watch
and deal with the consequences.
Powerlessness breeds passivity; U.N. officials rail against their dependent
status while at the same time taking refuge in it. If a peacekeeping
operation goes wrong, for example, it's because the Security Council
refused to give the troops a robust mandate. The members micromanage the
budget, protect useless fiefdoms, and demand even low-level jobs for their
citizens. It's all true, but it fosters a culture in which no one feels
personally accountable.
Is it possible to foster a culture of accountability and professionalism in
an organization that must be so acutely responsive to the wishes of its
masters? Is it possible, for example, to fill jobs with the best candidates
so long as the principle of "equitable national distribution" must be
honored? If the answer is no, then we need to envision other kinds of
organization. People who care about the United Nations will have to demand
a change in culture, but also permit a change in culture. The members will,
in fact, have to back off on managerial issues. The United States will have
to stop trying to starve and intimidate the United Nations into submission.
And the organization's managers will have to behave as if they had the kind
of autonomy and authority they seek. If the Oil-for-Food scandal ultimately
provokes these changes, the United Nations should be grateful for its enemies.
James Traub is writing a book on Kofi Annan and the United Nations.
"Modern physics has taught us that the nature of any system cannot be
discovered by dividing it into its component parts and studying each part
by itself. . . .We must keep our attention fixed on the whole and on the
interconnection between the parts. The same is true of our intellectual
life. It is impossible to make a clear cut between science, religion, and
art. The whole is never equal simply to the sum of its various parts."
--Max Planck
Nicholas F. Gier
Professor Emeritus, Department of Philosophy, University of Idaho
1037 Colt Rd., Moscow, ID 83843
http://users.adelphia.net/~nickgier/home.htm
208-882-9212/FAX 885-8950
President, Idaho Federation of Teachers, AFL-CIO
http://users.adelphia.net/~nickgier/ift.htm
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